The rupee on Monday continued its upward march against the US dollar for the third day, firming up by another 10 paise to 66.00 on fag-end selling of the American currency by banks and exporters.
Fresh selling of dollars by banks and exporters on the back of good foreign capital inflows helped the rupee
The rupee tumbled 19 paise to close at a fresh lifetime low of 77.93 against the US dollar on Friday as rising crude oil prices and unabated foreign capital outflows soured sentiment. A sell-off in equity markets and stronger greenback overseas also weighed on the domestic unit, forex traders said. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the local currency opened at 77.81 and witnessed an intra-day high of 77.79 and a low of 77.93 against the US dollar.
In the global market, the US dollar rose against the basket currencies in early trade as US President Barack Obama called for diplomacy in dealing with alleged chemical weapons attack in Syria but kept open the possibility of military action against the Assad regime.
The rupee bounced back by four paise to close at 65.27 per dollar on fresh selling of the American currency by banks.
Sustained rise in equity markets in view of progress in monsoon mainly boosted the rupee value against the dollar.
The Indian rupee is expected to trade between 80 and 84 against dollar in the first three months of 2023 with support from overseas inflows though worsening current account deficit (CAD) and reduced interest rate differential between the US and India pose challenges. According to a Business Standard Poll of 10 participants, most said the rupee could gain strength in January due to foreign inflows, and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is not expected to allow the currency to depreciate ahead of the Union Budget scheduled on February 1. The rupee depreciated 10.15 per cent in 2022, its worst performance since 2013 as the war in Europe and the interest rate increase by the US Federal Reserve prompted investors to flee emerging markets.
The rupee appreciated further on Thursday, adding 106 paise to 66.01 against the dollar, after steps taken by new Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan to attract US currency inflows boosted market sentiment.
The rupee ended higher for the second consecutive week.
The RBI is likely to reduce the key interest rate by 25 basis points this week after keeping it on hold for two years, complementing the Union Budget initiatives to push consumption-led demand, though the sliding rupee continues to be a concern. As the retail inflation has remained within the Reserve Bank's comfort zone (less than 6 per cent) for most of the year, the central bank can take rate action to boost growth hit by sluggish consumption, opined experts.
Investors are trying to push ahead with dollar purchases, emboldened by improving market sentiments
The rupee snapped 2-day rise to end weaker against the dollar on Thursday.
The rupee had snapped its 3-day losing streak on Thursday.
Rupee was impacted by renewed dollar demand from banks and importers amid sharp falls in equity market
The Indian unit opened sharply higher at 64.80 as against Wednesday's closing level of 65.12.
The trading range for the Spot USD/INR pair is expected to be within 66.20 to 67.00.
Forex market was shut on Tuesday on account of 'Mahavir Jayanti'.
A strengthening dollar overseas also kept the rupee under pressure amid demand from importers. Goldman Sachs followed JP Morgan, HSBC and Nomura in cutting India's economic growth forecast and also said it expects the rupee to touch 72 against the dollar in the next six months.
The dollar gained against other currencies overseas.
The rupee depreciated 7 paise to an all-time low of 80.05 against the US dollar in early trade on Tuesday tracking the strength of the American currency and firm crude oil prices. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 80 against the American dollar, then lost ground to quote at 80.05, registering a fall of 7 paise from the last close. In initial trade, the local unit also touched 79.90 against the American currency.
The rupee on Friday fell by 9 paise to 67.64 per dollar on fresh demand for the American currency.
The bourse has received approval from the capital market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of Indian and the RBI for introducing exchange traded currency options on dollar Indian rupee spot rate, NSE said.
A sustained rise in equity market also boosted the rupee sentiment.
Snapping a two-day fall, the rupee opened strong at 59.49 a dollar from the previous close of 59.76 at the Interbank Foreign Exchange Market and then touched a low of 59.59.
The domestic currency has already dropped 44 paise, or 0.67 per cent, in the previous two sessions.
The rupee fell to more than one-month low of 65.75 against the US dollar on Thursday.
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The rupee extended gains for the fourth straight day against the US currency on Thursday.
The rupee showed range-bound movement on Wednesday as investors preferred to stay cautious in the unsure market.
Reacting to market specific developments, the domestic unit touched a low of 66.74 in intra-day trade before concluding at 66.65.
Bank of America expects Reserve Bank to further step up liquidity restraint through accelerated government borrowings to avoid another rate hike during July monetary policy review.
At the Interbank Foreign Exchange market, the domestic currency resumed stable at its overnight close of 60.07 a dollar and immediately touched a low of 60.09.
The rupee declined by 10 paise to close at 79.23 (provisional) against the US dollar on Friday, tracking the strength of the American currency in the overseas market. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the local currency opened at 79.20 and finally ended at 79.23, down 10 paise over its previous close of 79.13. "Gains for the currency were short-lived even after RBI announced forex related measures. "Pound held on to its gains after Boris Johnson said he was quitting as prime minister following a rush of ministerial resignations and calls for him to go," said Gaurang Somaiya, Forex & Bullion Analyst, Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
The rupee appreciated 7 paise to 79.74 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday as a positive trend in domestic equities supported the local unit. However, a strong American currency overseas and forex outflows restricted the rupee's gain, dealers said. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 79.72 against the American dollar, then went lower to trade at 79.74 against the greenback in early deals, registering a gain of 7 paise over the last close.
The rupee depreciated 11 paise to a record low of 78.96 against the US dollar in opening trade on Wednesday, weighed down by persistent foreign capital outflows. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened on a weak note at 78.86 against the American dollar, then lost ground to quote at 78.96 -- its all-time low level, registering a fall of 11 paise from the last close. On Tuesday, the rupee plunged by 48 paise to close at record low of 78.85 against the US dollar.
The rupee had shed four paise at 63.81 against the US dollar in Friday's trade on sustained demand.
The rupee continued to slide against the pound sterling and finished at 102.64 as against 102.25 previously.
The rupee resumed lower at 63.65 per dollar as against previous closing of 63.58 at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market.
The RBI fixed the reference rate for the dollar at 65.2525 and for the euro at 72.1954.